Archive for the ‘Federal Reserve’ Category

UK to EU: We Out. Scattered thoughts on Brexit

June 24th, 2016

No time to organize thoughts, so here are a few synaptic firings. –I was disappointed by the outcome but not surprised. As I’ve written, this was in no small part a referendum on immigration, and the timing of the vote interacted with rising anger about this and other impacts of globalization. –The structure of the EU–a common… Read more

Do economists understand economies?

June 21st, 2016

Consider: –The economist Greg Mankiw had an essay in the NYT last week on five theories as to why growth has been so sluggish for so long (Greg’s focus was on the US, but it could have applied to Europe as well). Mankiw, a Harvard professor and writer of widely used textbooks, has long been… Read more

Slides from today’s talk at the AFL-CIO

June 14th, 2016

Some attendees asked for my slides so here they are. A few explanations for those who weren’t there. NIWG=non-inflationary wage growth, which I argued equals the the three factors you see there. What I’m calling “Bivens x” is Josh Bivens estimate that at current or even somewhat faster wage growth rates it would take a… Read more

Catching up on some old stuff

June 13th, 2016

Given the horrific mass-shooting in Orlando over the weekend, it seems irreverent and off-point to scribble about the usual grist for the mill. So a bit of catchup and forward-looking stuff. –I’ll have a great interview in tomorrow’s WaPo with CBPPs Elizabeth McNichol on the need for infrastructure investment, with an emphasis on the state… Read more