Archive for the ‘Fiscal Policy’ Category

Bumpier deficits, smoother ride

August 18th, 2015

I just love these graphs! (Can you say that about graphs you made?? We–RK and I–were only able to make them because my formidable co-author Richard Kogan dug up data on deficits as a share of GDP going back the beginning of the nation!) Over at Vox. Basically, these figures are pictures of what I… Read more

Dynamic Scoring in Action: Unwarranted Certainty

August 5th, 2015

Once the Republicans took the majority in Congress, they instructed the budget scorekeepers to do “dynamic scoring:” building macroeconomic feedback effects into their revenue estimates from proposed changes to tax policy. Because economists broadly assume that taxes distort decisions about activities with growth impacts, like labor supply or capital investment, cutting taxes often generates more… Read more

Austerity arithmetic: the dreaded r > g trap.

July 19th, 2015

I’ve got a piece out in PostEverything on a lesson we should learn from some arithmetic embedded in the Greek debt crisis. Basically, I point out that when the interest rate a country must pay to service their sovereign debt is consistently and significantly above their growth rate, their debt/GDP ratio just keeps growing. In… Read more