Archive for the ‘Fiscal Policy’ Category

Wherein Both Delong and Fernald Confuse Me

September 22nd, 2014

Not hard to do–and nothing against either of those big brains–but I’m confuzzled by this post from Brad. The question–or at least one of the questions–is a) whether there’s hysteresis in play and b) whether reverse hysteresis can be invoked to repair some of the damage. I’m too rushed to go into explanations of terms… Read more

2013 poverty and income results: Rising tide lifts a few boats, but the levee needs work.

September 16th, 2014

They’re out and I’ve got an extensive analysis up at PostEverything. For here, some highlights. –The poverty rate fell more than I expected last year–down half-a-percentage point from 15% in 2012 to 14.5% in 2013. It was fully driven by a sharp decline in child poverty rate, which fell almost two percentage points, from 21.8%… Read more

The Self-Fulfilling Function of Political Dysfunction

September 13th, 2014

Here’s an engaging oped by Jon Grinspan that makes one of my favorite points, one which is obvious but under-appreciated, I think: generalized and pervasive negativity about government perpetuates broken government. As Grinspan (a name that sounds like the answer to the crossword puzzle clue: “happy central banker”) puts it: First, we need to realize… Read more

Cyclical vs. Structural: Bivens and Shierholz Turn Over Every Stone to Find Out

August 21st, 2014

As central bankers gather for their annual conference in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, a top agenda item is evaluating the current and future amount of slack in the US economy. In this regard, they’d be well advised to check out this new study from the two economists at the Economic Policy Institute which provides an exhaustive… Read more

Fed Vice-Chair Stan Fischer on Whether Stronger Actual Growth Can Boost Potential Growth

August 11th, 2014

Fed vice-chair Stan Fischer gave another interesting (and long!—dude, you don’t have to cover everything in each outing!) speech today wherein he continues to articulate the Fed’s state-of-the-art thinking on all the big issues (here’s an earlier post re Fischer on financial oversight). Just did this CNBC hit on it so let me summarize the point… Read more