Archive for the ‘Jobs’ Category

Statistical nerds, your nation needs your help!

April 19th, 2016

As OTE’ers know, I have long lobbied for being as explicit as possible about the uncertainty in our economic estimates and forecasts. Which is why I was very happy to get this survey from the Bureau of Labor Statistics today, asking whether they should present the monthly payroll jobs number (the net gain/loss of payroll employment)… Read more

True and important: trade deficits are not scorecards. But under certain conditions, they’re far from benign.

March 28th, 2016

Neil Irwin over at the NYT has apparently drawn the unenviable job of explaining what’s wrong with Trumponomics. His latest entry, on trade deficits, is framed around an important, overlooked point, but he misses some important nuances, and his conclusion re trade deficits as conditionally benign seemed pretty far off to me. As this is… Read more