Archive for the ‘New Posts’ Category

2014q4 GDP: On trend if you measure it “right” with no inflationary pressures in sight.

January 30th, 2015

Real GDP grew 2.6% in Q4 last year, slightly below expectations for 3% and slower than the past two quarters which averaged 4.8%. But while that slower pace–at least in today’s advanced report; we’ll see two updates based on more complete data in coming weeks–may cause some angst to some, OTEers know better. The annualized… Read more

Fed in an interesting zone: strong growth, weak inflation

January 28th, 2015

You’re hanging out at a party with your spouse. He’s a charming guy, life of the party, but he’s been known to get embarrassingly drunk and start breaking things. You watch him closely, observing that he’s drinking heavily as usual and you’re getting ready to shove in the car before things get ugly. But weirdly, they don’t…. Read more

The 529 microcosm: a revealing political train wreck re an inefficient tax break

January 28th, 2015

This little train wreck over the White House’s proposal and then retraction of a plan to cut back on a wasteful yet beloved tax benefit is highly instructive. It’s a clear example of how much hot air there is in these fiscal debates, where policy makers and pundits scold everyone within earshot of the need… Read more