Good changes: I continue to recover from the brain hemorrhage I sustained on March 23. Today’s my first meds-free day and I’ve been blessedly headache free. Thanks again for the outpouring of support–it’s been really uplifting. Neutral Changes: As I slowly rev up Ye Olde Analysis Shoppe, I found the figure below (by GS fiscal analyst… Read more
Friends and followers — As some of you know, on March 23 I had a brain hemorrhage, technically known as a subarachnoid hemorrhage. This is a very serious condition, often fatal or disabling. But I appear to have been very lucky. After spending nine days in the ICU at Fairfax Hospital, I was discharged and… Read more
I won’t be posting for a couple of weeks due to a medical emergency. However, the prognosis is good and I look forward to returning to my blog soon.
Like everyone else who knew him, I’m in shock and despair over news of the death of the economist Alan Krueger. Alan was the best kind of colleague: always inquisitive, incredibly rigorous about what constituted facts and evidence in economics, and willing and able to talk about his work in ways that made sense to… Read more
Got a late start this AM, so just highlights for now, with more analysis to come. Outliers happen! Payrolls rose a mere 20K last month, a huge downside outlier given the recent trends as shown below in our monthly smoother. The average over the past 3-months of 186K is a much more reliable take on… Read more