Well, there’s the stock market and there’s the real economy. They’re related but they’re not the same thing. Here’s why. To be clear, nobody knows when the next recession will hit, so I’m decidedly not saying all clear, happy-dappy! To the contrary, I strongly urge us to be ready for the worst.
A commenter, after gazing at these figures, asks: how much influence do presidents really have over the economy anyway? I dove deeply into this here, riffing off of an academic paper comparing economic outcomes between terms when D’s or R’s controlled the White House. The economy grows faster under Democrats, which is good to know,… Read more
But I do strongly suspect that policy makers–both the monetary and fiscal ones–won’t be ready for it. Over at WaPo.
Larry Summers has a piece worth reading in today’s WaPo called “Preparing for the next recession.” I liked it, in terms of convincingly arguing the limits of the Fed, but beyond that, there’s wasn’t a lot in terms of actually…you know…preparing for the next downturn – other than his closing sentence that the issue “…demands… Read more
From a recent interview with the President in GQ: You can’t separate good policy from the need to bring the American people along and make sure that they know why you’re doing what you’re doing. And that’s particularly true now in this new communications era. I think that we were ahead of the curve in… Read more