Archive for the ‘Recession/Stimulus’ Category

Fellow progressives: the macro-economy doesn’t care which party signs the stimulus check.

November 11th, 2016

I’m crunching on other stuff so this will be brief, but I’ve been reading a fair bit of commentary about how Trump’s fiscal plans–infrastructure investment and tax cuts–won’t help the economy; “they’ll be recessionary, they’ll deliver higher inflation and interest rates, they’ll force the Fed to move from brake-tapping to brake-slamming.” I yield to no one… Read more

Is there a deficit of deficit hysteria?

August 3rd, 2016

I hope so, and it’s what I wrote about yesterday in the WaPo. Let me entertain OTEers with a few more thoughts on the topic, including feedback I got yesterday. One response was: “You’re endorsing fiscal recklessness! There’s nothing “progressive” going on here; it’s just politicians not giving a crap about our troubled fiscal accounts.”… Read more

That second quarter GDP report: should we be worried?

August 1st, 2016

I didn’t much like that GDP report from last Friday, showing that the economy expanded at an annual rate of 1.2% in the second quarter. OTEers know my methods: I prefer to smooth out the quarterly noise by looking at year-over-year trends. However, as the figure below shows, that doesn’t help so much. In fact,… Read more

References/Links to stuff you might like: recession, race, and trade

July 11th, 2016

First, the NYT’s Room for Debate series asks the important question: Are we ready for the next recession? As OTE regulars know, I say “no,” based on monetary policy, fiscal policy, and politics (otherwise, we’re fine…). I enjoyed other entries that stressed the importance of direct job creation programs, which make a lot of sense, especially… Read more