Archive for the ‘Recession/Stimulus’ Category

Robert Samuelson on full employment; my own concerns as to our readiness for the next downturn

April 6th, 2015

Robert Samuelson has a few good words for full employment, coming off of our event a few weeks ago. He makes some useful points: –not only is full employment an important goal, but it’s a bipartisan one, or at least it should be; –no one really knows with any precision what the “natural rate” of… Read more

Why is our macroeconomy doing so much better than Europe’s?

December 1st, 2014

Over at PostEverything. Bonus for OTE’ers: here’s an update of a figure I made awhile ago tracking Eurozone GDP, government spending (both in real terms), and unemployment. What I find revealing here is the fairly clear–for this sort of thing–initial increase in public spending to offset the downturn and the subsequent stabilization of GDP and… Read more

Wherein Both Delong and Fernald Confuse Me

September 22nd, 2014

Not hard to do–and nothing against either of those big brains–but I’m confuzzled by this post from Brad. The question–or at least one of the questions–is a) whether there’s hysteresis in play and b) whether reverse hysteresis can be invoked to repair some of the damage. I’m too rushed to go into explanations of terms… Read more