Archive for the ‘Tax Policy’ Category

Reax to NYT oped

June 5th, 2017

I’ve got an oped in this AM’s NYT on four big ideas that I see Democrats, and not just traditional progressives, but also centrists, converging around. –a universal child allowance; –a $15 minimum wage; –a large expansion of the EITC; –direct job creation. Here are some responses and pushbacks. Much of what folks raised are… Read more

Odds and ends: taxes, Kansas, GDP, residual seasonality…

May 1st, 2017

Just a few links folks might find worth perusing. First, a few thoughts about President Trump’s tax “plan:” –I don’t think it makes sense to discuss corporate or business taxation anymore without including pass-through businesses, which comprise most businesses and about half of business income. And Trump’s plan opens up a fat, new loophole in… Read more

Dynamic scoring, interest rates, and “crowd out”

April 25th, 2017

I’ve got a piece over at the WaPo on why, when Treasury Sec’y Mnuchin says that Trump’s tax plan–which I suspect does not exist yet outside of some broad principles–“will pay for itself,” you should…um…disbelieve him. Such claims abuse “dynamic scoring,” the process by which analysts estimate macroeconomic feedback effects from tax cuts. I provide a… Read more