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	<title>Comments on: Housing Was a Huge Headwind; Now It&#8217;s a Small Tailwind</title>
	<atom:link href="http://jaredbernsteinblog.com/housing-was-a-huge-headwind-now-its-a-small-tailwind/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://jaredbernsteinblog.com/housing-was-a-huge-headwind-now-its-a-small-tailwind/</link>
	<description>Facts, Thoughts, and Commentary</description>
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		<title>By: Jared Bernstein</title>
		<link>http://jaredbernsteinblog.com/housing-was-a-huge-headwind-now-its-a-small-tailwind/#comment-325411</link>
		<dc:creator>Jared Bernstein</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 26 Oct 2012 06:56:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://jaredbernsteinblog.com/?p=6842#comment-325411</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Consumer demand for housing, low mortgage rates, and improvement in HH balance sheets (see http://www.gallup.com/poll/158387/americans-feel-better-off-worse-off-financially.aspx eg).  The fact of millions of foreclosures still in the pipeline clearly remains a constraint on the sector, of course, though even distressed sales (short sales, REO sales) have been positive in recent months.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Consumer demand for housing, low mortgage rates, and improvement in HH balance sheets (see <a href="http://www.gallup.com/poll/158387/americans-feel-better-off-worse-off-financially.aspx" rel="nofollow">http://www.gallup.com/poll/158387/americans-feel-better-off-worse-off-financially.aspx</a> eg).  The fact of millions of foreclosures still in the pipeline clearly remains a constraint on the sector, of course, though even distressed sales (short sales, REO sales) have been positive in recent months.</p>
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		<title>By: Renoira</title>
		<link>http://jaredbernsteinblog.com/housing-was-a-huge-headwind-now-its-a-small-tailwind/#comment-325406</link>
		<dc:creator>Renoira</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 26 Oct 2012 06:48:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://jaredbernsteinblog.com/?p=6842#comment-325406</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[From the September stockholder meeting of PennyMac:

While it is difficult to forecast with certainty how long the distressed home loan opportunity will last, we expect
strong close to continue for the next 12 months and probably longer. Our estimates envision a population of
approximately 15 billion to 20 billion in distressed home loans that have already been identified by marked
participants is likely to come up for sale.

So, with all these foreclosures in the lineup, where is all the improvement coming from, do you think?]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>From the September stockholder meeting of PennyMac:</p>
<p>While it is difficult to forecast with certainty how long the distressed home loan opportunity will last, we expect<br />
strong close to continue for the next 12 months and probably longer. Our estimates envision a population of<br />
approximately 15 billion to 20 billion in distressed home loans that have already been identified by marked<br />
participants is likely to come up for sale.</p>
<p>So, with all these foreclosures in the lineup, where is all the improvement coming from, do you think?</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: Jared Bernstein</title>
		<link>http://jaredbernsteinblog.com/housing-was-a-huge-headwind-now-its-a-small-tailwind/#comment-325211</link>
		<dc:creator>Jared Bernstein</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 26 Oct 2012 02:36:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://jaredbernsteinblog.com/?p=6842#comment-325211</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Nope--behind a $ firewall.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Nope&#8211;behind a $ firewall.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: Martin Andelman</title>
		<link>http://jaredbernsteinblog.com/housing-was-a-huge-headwind-now-its-a-small-tailwind/#comment-325149</link>
		<dc:creator>Martin Andelman</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 26 Oct 2012 01:22:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://jaredbernsteinblog.com/?p=6842#comment-325149</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[How can I get a copy of this GS report?  Considering no one has come anywhere close to being even remotely right about anything related to this topic to-date... let&#039;s say consistently and for the last six years... you&#039;ll forgive my reluctance to consider your stated conclusions based on a moderately nice looking chart from GS.  

In fact, and please take this as it&#039;s intended, which is with only great respect, after what you&#039;ve been involved in since 2009, I find it somewhere between surprising and hysterical that you appear to accept it at face value when you must understand that even at best it&#039;s a solid examination of certain data and a reasonable forecast.  

At worst it&#039;s evidence of confirmation bias produced by a group of PhDs... Piling it Higher &amp; Deeper... to be pedaled to politicians that more often than not received triple-digit SAT scores.

I&#039;m not saying that&#039;s necessarily the case, but surely you realize that even the best mapping of somewhere we&#039;ve yet to travel is imprecise science under ideal circumstances.

So, is there a copy of this GS report being made available outside of the inner sanctum, or is this the sort of report one has to be a qualified investor to receive?

Thanks, in advance, for your help...]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>How can I get a copy of this GS report?  Considering no one has come anywhere close to being even remotely right about anything related to this topic to-date&#8230; let&#8217;s say consistently and for the last six years&#8230; you&#8217;ll forgive my reluctance to consider your stated conclusions based on a moderately nice looking chart from GS.  </p>
<p>In fact, and please take this as it&#8217;s intended, which is with only great respect, after what you&#8217;ve been involved in since 2009, I find it somewhere between surprising and hysterical that you appear to accept it at face value when you must understand that even at best it&#8217;s a solid examination of certain data and a reasonable forecast.  </p>
<p>At worst it&#8217;s evidence of confirmation bias produced by a group of PhDs&#8230; Piling it Higher &amp; Deeper&#8230; to be pedaled to politicians that more often than not received triple-digit SAT scores.</p>
<p>I&#8217;m not saying that&#8217;s necessarily the case, but surely you realize that even the best mapping of somewhere we&#8217;ve yet to travel is imprecise science under ideal circumstances.</p>
<p>So, is there a copy of this GS report being made available outside of the inner sanctum, or is this the sort of report one has to be a qualified investor to receive?</p>
<p>Thanks, in advance, for your help&#8230;</p>
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		<title>By: save_the_rustbelt</title>
		<link>http://jaredbernsteinblog.com/housing-was-a-huge-headwind-now-its-a-small-tailwind/#comment-324139</link>
		<dc:creator>save_the_rustbelt</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 25 Oct 2012 04:12:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://jaredbernsteinblog.com/?p=6842#comment-324139</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Added note, housing improvements vary greatly by state and by region within each state.

Any good news welcome, however.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Added note, housing improvements vary greatly by state and by region within each state.</p>
<p>Any good news welcome, however.</p>
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