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	<title>Comments on: Romnomics Redux</title>
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		<title>By: Misaki</title>
		<link>http://jaredbernsteinblog.com/romnomics-redux/#comment-175030</link>
		<dc:creator>Misaki</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 20 May 2012 21:57:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://jaredbernsteinblog.com/?p=5126#comment-175030</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[(Replying to a comment awaiting moderation)

Actually... it still doesn&#039;t make sense, does it. Highest GDP would result from more fiscal stimulus, so people must not think it&#039;s important. (And polls suggest a lower bound to the number of people who think that taxes + spending would raise GDP but that the government should not take this course of action.)

And with high unemployment, the inherently inefficient government is tasked with &#039;creating&#039; jobs or at least distributing welfare, with no inherent mechanisms to ensure this is done &quot;efficiently&quot;. So people must actually mean that they want productivity &lt;i&gt;in the private sector&lt;/i&gt; to be as high as possible. Because in their opinion the government doesn&#039;t actually &quot;produce&quot; anything, it just provides public services and funding to private/separate organizations that do the actual producing (like universities).

The optimum situation from their perspective, then, is that &quot;private sector productivity is as high as possible, while the government only does the minimum for the unemployed that voters require it to do.&quot; While government services and the additional spending that welfare allows may increase GDP, it doesn&#039;t &#039;count&#039; because if it did the government could just spend arbitrarily much and productivity would become meaningless as a measure of achievement.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>(Replying to a comment awaiting moderation)</p>
<p>Actually&#8230; it still doesn&#8217;t make sense, does it. Highest GDP would result from more fiscal stimulus, so people must not think it&#8217;s important. (And polls suggest a lower bound to the number of people who think that taxes + spending would raise GDP but that the government should not take this course of action.)</p>
<p>And with high unemployment, the inherently inefficient government is tasked with &#8216;creating&#8217; jobs or at least distributing welfare, with no inherent mechanisms to ensure this is done &#8220;efficiently&#8221;. So people must actually mean that they want productivity <i>in the private sector</i> to be as high as possible. Because in their opinion the government doesn&#8217;t actually &#8220;produce&#8221; anything, it just provides public services and funding to private/separate organizations that do the actual producing (like universities).</p>
<p>The optimum situation from their perspective, then, is that &#8220;private sector productivity is as high as possible, while the government only does the minimum for the unemployed that voters require it to do.&#8221; While government services and the additional spending that welfare allows may increase GDP, it doesn&#8217;t &#8216;count&#8217; because if it did the government could just spend arbitrarily much and productivity would become meaningless as a measure of achievement.</p>
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		<title>By: Misaki</title>
		<link>http://jaredbernsteinblog.com/romnomics-redux/#comment-175015</link>
		<dc:creator>Misaki</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 20 May 2012 21:34:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://jaredbernsteinblog.com/?p=5126#comment-175015</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[If you assume that the government gives welfare to people to prevent them from dying, then higher productivity and GDP is a sufficient condition to choose one policy option over another. Measuring &quot;middle-class incomes, paychecks, the quantity and quality of jobs, rates of poverty, income gaps&quot; is not necessary since extra income is just fluff.

If for example, people need more than the minimum income to be able to afford education, then jobs and poverty rates might become important to achieve high productivity and GDP, but in the final analysis it&#039;s very possible that more education won&#039;t help.
http://www.psmag.com/science/the-real-science-gap-16191/
http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=does-the-us-produce-too-m (earlier version of same article and slightly shorter)

On the other hand, if the government doesn&#039;t give people welfare and they have to resort to illegal methods to sustain themselves or otherwise leads to negative effects, then &#039;productivity&#039; and &#039;GDP&#039; are not the sole goal but it [seems to be] up to society to decide whether any negative effects of high unemployment outweigh possible losses from a strategy to &lt;a href=&quot;http://jobcreationplan.blogspot.com/&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;reduce unemployment&lt;/a&gt;; for example, people might feel emotional distress if the GDP of the US dropped below that of China.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If you assume that the government gives welfare to people to prevent them from dying, then higher productivity and GDP is a sufficient condition to choose one policy option over another. Measuring &#8220;middle-class incomes, paychecks, the quantity and quality of jobs, rates of poverty, income gaps&#8221; is not necessary since extra income is just fluff.</p>
<p>If for example, people need more than the minimum income to be able to afford education, then jobs and poverty rates might become important to achieve high productivity and GDP, but in the final analysis it&#8217;s very possible that more education won&#8217;t help.<br />
<a href="http://www.psmag.com/science/the-real-science-gap-16191/" rel="nofollow">http://www.psmag.com/science/the-real-science-gap-16191/</a><br />
<a href="http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=does-the-us-produce-too-m" rel="nofollow">http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=does-the-us-produce-too-m</a> (earlier version of same article and slightly shorter)</p>
<p>On the other hand, if the government doesn&#8217;t give people welfare and they have to resort to illegal methods to sustain themselves or otherwise leads to negative effects, then &#8216;productivity&#8217; and &#8216;GDP&#8217; are not the sole goal but it [seems to be] up to society to decide whether any negative effects of high unemployment outweigh possible losses from a strategy to <a href="http://jobcreationplan.blogspot.com/" rel="nofollow">reduce unemployment</a>; for example, people might feel emotional distress if the GDP of the US dropped below that of China.</p>
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		<title>By: Sharks</title>
		<link>http://jaredbernsteinblog.com/romnomics-redux/#comment-171707</link>
		<dc:creator>Sharks</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 16 May 2012 01:20:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://jaredbernsteinblog.com/?p=5126#comment-171707</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[You must have missed Jared&#039;s post or you would have never ever asked that question. 

We Could Be Near 7% But For…
http://jaredbernsteinblog.com/we-could-be-well-under-7-but-for/


Far as a debacle. Sorry. Those were the Bush years. We are just living in the aftermath. If you think this is a debacle then you will never vote Republican again. 

Surplus to Depression. No way you can wipe that stain off the country.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>You must have missed Jared&#8217;s post or you would have never ever asked that question. </p>
<p>We Could Be Near 7% But For…<br />
<a href="http://jaredbernsteinblog.com/we-could-be-well-under-7-but-for/" rel="nofollow">http://jaredbernsteinblog.com/we-could-be-well-under-7-but-for/</a></p>
<p>Far as a debacle. Sorry. Those were the Bush years. We are just living in the aftermath. If you think this is a debacle then you will never vote Republican again. </p>
<p>Surplus to Depression. No way you can wipe that stain off the country.</p>
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		<title>By: perplexed</title>
		<link>http://jaredbernsteinblog.com/romnomics-redux/#comment-171555</link>
		<dc:creator>perplexed</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 15 May 2012 20:29:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://jaredbernsteinblog.com/?p=5126#comment-171555</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Great points! I think that what Romney probably meant to say is that &quot;I understand how to extract money from the economy by exploiting loopholes in tax laws and capturing the gains for investors with high risk tolerance.&quot; 

I wonder if anyone has calculated the increased liabilities the PBGC has taken on (and the subsequent losses to pensioners who lost a major portion of their pensions) that resulted from Romney&#039;s experiments with increasing &quot;productivity?&quot; These people assume a level of gullibility that would astound our grandparents and the news/entertainment business does nothing to stop them.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Great points! I think that what Romney probably meant to say is that &#8220;I understand how to extract money from the economy by exploiting loopholes in tax laws and capturing the gains for investors with high risk tolerance.&#8221; </p>
<p>I wonder if anyone has calculated the increased liabilities the PBGC has taken on (and the subsequent losses to pensioners who lost a major portion of their pensions) that resulted from Romney&#8217;s experiments with increasing &#8220;productivity?&#8221; These people assume a level of gullibility that would astound our grandparents and the news/entertainment business does nothing to stop them.</p>
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		<title>By: jonathan</title>
		<link>http://jaredbernsteinblog.com/romnomics-redux/#comment-171448</link>
		<dc:creator>jonathan</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 15 May 2012 17:44:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://jaredbernsteinblog.com/?p=5126#comment-171448</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The private buyout game is rooted in finding companies with cash flow and then borrowing to the limit of that cash flow. That coupled with asset sales allows the buyer to cash out up front and then forces the company to restructure by cutting costs, selling more assets, etc. 

Couple of observations:

1. It relies on tax benefits of debt. If acquisition and post-acquisition debt weren&#039;t deductible, the industry would not exist.
2. It makes a mockery of the idea that more money creates jobs and that more money, meaning lower taxes, is an effective incentive. Romney&#039;s industry relied on squeezing companies to the margin of their existence and then claiming that focused them more clearly on what they needed to do. In Romney&#039;s non-political world, companies lost their way with too much cash; they made dumb investments that needed to be dumped, over-expanded, etc. It was only the strictures imposed by debt that created necessary focus. This is nearly the exact opposite of the usual dogma that putting more money in pockets is more efficient. But I can&#039;t expect logical consistency.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The private buyout game is rooted in finding companies with cash flow and then borrowing to the limit of that cash flow. That coupled with asset sales allows the buyer to cash out up front and then forces the company to restructure by cutting costs, selling more assets, etc. </p>
<p>Couple of observations:</p>
<p>1. It relies on tax benefits of debt. If acquisition and post-acquisition debt weren&#8217;t deductible, the industry would not exist.<br />
2. It makes a mockery of the idea that more money creates jobs and that more money, meaning lower taxes, is an effective incentive. Romney&#8217;s industry relied on squeezing companies to the margin of their existence and then claiming that focused them more clearly on what they needed to do. In Romney&#8217;s non-political world, companies lost their way with too much cash; they made dumb investments that needed to be dumped, over-expanded, etc. It was only the strictures imposed by debt that created necessary focus. This is nearly the exact opposite of the usual dogma that putting more money in pockets is more efficient. But I can&#8217;t expect logical consistency.</p>
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		<title>By: jonathan</title>
		<link>http://jaredbernsteinblog.com/romnomics-redux/#comment-171444</link>
		<dc:creator>jonathan</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 15 May 2012 17:38:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://jaredbernsteinblog.com/?p=5126#comment-171444</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Productivity under slavery was significantly lower than wage based employment. This is a major reason why the South, which was wealthier, became poorer overall by the Civil War. The South&#039;s balance sheet looked great but that reflected the value of property, meaning human beings. When the Atlantic Slave Trade ended in 1805, the availability of domestic markets in the Southern interior dramatically increased the value of slave production, meaning breeding people to be slaves. Even in the South, non-slave production was more efficient because productivity was higher. This is partly due to the inherent inefficiency in a slave system and also due to the greater training, education, etc. given to wage workers - who might include free blacks. It was illegal in the South to teach a slave to read.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Productivity under slavery was significantly lower than wage based employment. This is a major reason why the South, which was wealthier, became poorer overall by the Civil War. The South&#8217;s balance sheet looked great but that reflected the value of property, meaning human beings. When the Atlantic Slave Trade ended in 1805, the availability of domestic markets in the Southern interior dramatically increased the value of slave production, meaning breeding people to be slaves. Even in the South, non-slave production was more efficient because productivity was higher. This is partly due to the inherent inefficiency in a slave system and also due to the greater training, education, etc. given to wage workers &#8211; who might include free blacks. It was illegal in the South to teach a slave to read.</p>
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		<title>By: D. C. Sessions</title>
		<link>http://jaredbernsteinblog.com/romnomics-redux/#comment-171385</link>
		<dc:creator>D. C. Sessions</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 15 May 2012 14:59:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://jaredbernsteinblog.com/?p=5126#comment-171385</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Wouldn&#039;t productivity and profit be much greater if American companies could use slave labor?  It&#039;s not a new idea -- in fact it&#039;s Biblical: if you can&#039;t pay your debts, your creditors get you as collateral and you belong to them until your labor pays off the debts.

The laws to do that might have to be carefully arranged to get around the 13th Amendment, but the Supreme Court has already exempted the military draft and prison labor so I don&#039;t think the problem is insuperable.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Wouldn&#8217;t productivity and profit be much greater if American companies could use slave labor?  It&#8217;s not a new idea &#8212; in fact it&#8217;s Biblical: if you can&#8217;t pay your debts, your creditors get you as collateral and you belong to them until your labor pays off the debts.</p>
<p>The laws to do that might have to be carefully arranged to get around the 13th Amendment, but the Supreme Court has already exempted the military draft and prison labor so I don&#8217;t think the problem is insuperable.</p>
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		<title>By: Sandwichman</title>
		<link>http://jaredbernsteinblog.com/romnomics-redux/#comment-171354</link>
		<dc:creator>Sandwichman</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 15 May 2012 14:03:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://jaredbernsteinblog.com/?p=5126#comment-171354</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Jared, 

I would be very interested to hear your response to a critique by Duncan Foley in South Atlantic Quarterly of the Obama economic strategy that singles out Christina Romer&#039;s and your projection of 8% unemployment in the absence of the 2009 stimulus. 

&lt;blockquote&gt;The political debacle of Barack Obama’s administration in the United States reveals the dangers inherent in thinking of macroeconomic performance and policy in excessively narrow terms. Obama’s economic advisers tended to operate in a discourse in which the economy is the central concept. In this discourse the economy has its own laws and behavior, reflected in the movement of a statistical index—“real,” that is, inflation-corrected, gross domestic product (GDP)…   

Obama’s economic advisers not only internalized these views but made the terrible political error of publicly proclaiming them, assuring the public that a recovery of the economy was inevitable and even venturing to quantify its dimensions, for example, in the prophecy that the US unemployment rate would, even in the absence of fiscal stimulus, peak at 8 percent.&lt;/blockquote&gt;]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Jared, </p>
<p>I would be very interested to hear your response to a critique by Duncan Foley in South Atlantic Quarterly of the Obama economic strategy that singles out Christina Romer&#8217;s and your projection of 8% unemployment in the absence of the 2009 stimulus. </p>
<blockquote><p>The political debacle of Barack Obama’s administration in the United States reveals the dangers inherent in thinking of macroeconomic performance and policy in excessively narrow terms. Obama’s economic advisers tended to operate in a discourse in which the economy is the central concept. In this discourse the economy has its own laws and behavior, reflected in the movement of a statistical index—“real,” that is, inflation-corrected, gross domestic product (GDP)…   </p>
<p>Obama’s economic advisers not only internalized these views but made the terrible political error of publicly proclaiming them, assuring the public that a recovery of the economy was inevitable and even venturing to quantify its dimensions, for example, in the prophecy that the US unemployment rate would, even in the absence of fiscal stimulus, peak at 8 percent.</p></blockquote>
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		<title>By: N. Nyberg</title>
		<link>http://jaredbernsteinblog.com/romnomics-redux/#comment-171348</link>
		<dc:creator>N. Nyberg</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 15 May 2012 13:53:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://jaredbernsteinblog.com/?p=5126#comment-171348</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The point here is that there is more than just one game.  Very few CEOs and private equity folks have ever been in the game of living paycheck to paycheck, or working an extra part-time job to make ends meet.  In fact, the very notion of calling making a living a &quot;game&quot; is completely antithetical to the way the vast majority of the country views the economy.  Perhaps few politicians have been in &quot;the game&quot; you refer to.  Where we differ is in thinking that&#039;s a bad thing -- few Americans over all are in that game, and being in it apparently distorts one&#039;s views to the detriment of the vast majority of Americans.  Putting profits before people, profits before public good, and profits in place of perspective produces problems. . .]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The point here is that there is more than just one game.  Very few CEOs and private equity folks have ever been in the game of living paycheck to paycheck, or working an extra part-time job to make ends meet.  In fact, the very notion of calling making a living a &#8220;game&#8221; is completely antithetical to the way the vast majority of the country views the economy.  Perhaps few politicians have been in &#8220;the game&#8221; you refer to.  Where we differ is in thinking that&#8217;s a bad thing &#8212; few Americans over all are in that game, and being in it apparently distorts one&#8217;s views to the detriment of the vast majority of Americans.  Putting profits before people, profits before public good, and profits in place of perspective produces problems. . .</p>
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		<title>By: save_the_rustbelt</title>
		<link>http://jaredbernsteinblog.com/romnomics-redux/#comment-171315</link>
		<dc:creator>save_the_rustbelt</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 15 May 2012 12:40:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://jaredbernsteinblog.com/?p=5126#comment-171315</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Being a CEO of anything is not a good indicator of being a good president. Being a Governor more so.

One thing most politicians and economists have in common is they have never &quot;been in the game&quot; of business or done much in the real economy. Like sports writers, they sit on the sidelines and critique and criticism those who do the real work. (Sorry Jared)

We are faced with electing one of two lousy candidates. It will be another long four years.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Being a CEO of anything is not a good indicator of being a good president. Being a Governor more so.</p>
<p>One thing most politicians and economists have in common is they have never &#8220;been in the game&#8221; of business or done much in the real economy. Like sports writers, they sit on the sidelines and critique and criticism those who do the real work. (Sorry Jared)</p>
<p>We are faced with electing one of two lousy candidates. It will be another long four years.</p>
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