Sequester Watch, #30 & 31

November 18th, 2013 at 5:24 pm

We’re combining two weeks of SW, and an important theme as we head into next year is what does 2014 hold in store for agencies and their programs in terms of sequestration cuts?   Among those who think about such things, there’s sometimes an assumption that there will be “no new negative fiscal impulse.”  That is, the sequester cuts the same amount last year in 2013 as in 2014, so while we’re stuck with a lower baseline (or, if you’re enamoured of mindless budget cuts, we’re “enjoying” a lower baseline).

Not so, for a few reasons.  First, the defense caps are about $20 billion lower next year, having to do with ways they were juiced up a bit in sequester year one.  Second, non-defense discretionary outlays are expected to fall $12 billion in 2014, as Suzy Khimm reports below.  (For you wonkiest of readers, NDD budget authority is unchanged, 2013-14, but we’re talking outlays here.)

Khimm notes an interesting point re this, one I’ve heard other folks with some inside knowledge corroborate:

Government agencies will also have a harder time managing the spending restrictions that have already taken effect in 2013 if sequestration continues. From the Justice Department and the Pentagon to local housing authorities, officials have used temporary, one-time measures to mitigate the pain of sequestration this year. If sequestration continues, however, they won’t have the same creative budgeting and accounting tricks at their disposal. And that means the cuts will deal a harsh blow to more American families and businesses across the country.

So excuse me if I’m not anxious to just settle into a new normal that assumes we can happily live with another year of sequestration.

Sequestration reduces home heating aid for R.I.
November 5, 2013
By Paul Edward Parker
Providence Journal

Sequestration Could Cut Housing Assistance For 185,000 People Next Year
November 7, 2013
By Bryce Covert
Think Progress

The sequester, round two: Students may see a dip in financial aid next fall as the sequester cuts continue.
November 7, 2013
Editorial Board
The Minnesota Daily

Merit Systems Protection Board swamped by volume of furlough appeals
November 7, 2013
By Lisa Rein
Washington Post

Military Families Fear Housing Allowance Is at Risk
November 7, 2013
By Dawn Wotapka
WSJ

Sequestration’s second year worse than its first, military chiefs warn
November 11, 2013
By Jared Sherbu
Federal News Radio

UCLA Chancellor On Sequestration Science Cuts: ‘People Will End Up On The Street’
November 11, 2013
By Sam Stein
Huffington Post

New Survey Finds U.S. Sequester Has Meant Less Academic Research
November 11, 2013
By Jeffrey Mervis
Science Insider

US Honors Veterans with Stirring Speeches and Painful Austerity
November 11, 2013
By Joshua Holland
Moyers & Co.

Sequestration continues to squeeze local manufacturers: Defense, aerospace sectors still coping with year-end cuts, shrinking military
November 11, 2013
By Rachel Abbey McCafferty
Crain’s Cleveland Business

Turner: Sequestration could cost Dayton 13,000 jobs
November 12, 2013
By Tristan Navera
Dayton Business Journal

Analysis: Sequester’s automatic spending cuts would bite deeper in 2014
November 12, 2013
By Andrew Taylor
AP

Sequestration still hurting our seniors
November 12, 2013
By Maggie Kraft
Times-Standard (CA)

‘Frankly, I am nervous’
November 12, 2013
By Steve Benen
MSNBC.com

Federal cuts slash hundreds of programs
November 12, 2013
By Jennifer Liberto
CNN Money

Survey: 81 Percent of Universities Say Sequester Has Directly Affected Research Activities
November 12, 2013
By Allison Kelkenny
Moyers & Co.

U.S. Budget Deficit Falls 24 Percent in October Due to Shutdown, Sequester
November 13, 2013
By Christopher Rugaber
AP

Sequester Risks 6,000 Jobs at Wright-Patterson
November 13, 2013
By Barrie Barber
Dayton Daily News (OH)

Sequester hit low-income housing program in Mankato
November 13, 2013
By Mark Fischenich
Mankato Free Press (MN)

Sequester looms over Philippines disaster relief
November 13, 2013
By Philip Ewing
PoliticoPro

Universities say sequester hurting research
November 13, 2013
By Lynn O’Shaughnessy
CBS News

Cutbacks & Sequestration Threaten Senior Citizen Program
November 13, 2013
By Joel Thomas
CBS Fort Worth (TX)

Harsher cuts are on their way
November 14, 2013
By Suzy Khimm
MSNBC.com

Preliminary USDA data: Sequestration takes a bite out of conservation program
November 14, 2013
By Aarian Marshall
AgriPulse

Special Education Budget Cuts, Sequestration, Hurt America’s Most Vulnerable Students
November 14, 2013
By Joy Resmovitz
Huffington Post

Career Training For The Unemployed Is Getting Suffocated By Sequestration
November 14, 2013
By Alan Pyke
ThinkProgress

U.S. Military Eyes Cut to Pay, Benefits
November 17, 2013
By Julian Barnes
WSJ

Pentagon Faces $52 Billion in Sequester Budget Cuts in January
November 18, 2013
By Elliot Jager
Newsmax

Moody’s: Sequester May Hurt Research Universities’ Credit Ratings
November 18, 2013
Inside Higher Ed

Sequestration cuts could hit Beale hard
November 18, 2013
Eric Vodden
Appeal-Democrat (CA)

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