Well, there’s the stock market and there’s the real economy. They’re related but they’re not the same thing. Here’s why. To be clear, nobody knows when the next recession will hit, so I’m decidedly not saying all clear, happy-dappy! To the contrary, I strongly urge us to be ready for the worst.
Archive for the ‘Recession/Stimulus’ Category
Really, how much do presidents influence the economy?
A commenter, after gazing at these figures, asks: how much influence do presidents really have over the economy anyway? I dove deeply into this here, riffing off of an academic paper comparing economic outcomes between terms when D’s or R’s controlled the White House. The economy grows faster under Democrats, which is good to know,… Read more
I don’t know when the next recession will happen.
But I do strongly suspect that policy makers–both the monetary and fiscal ones–won’t be ready for it. Over at WaPo.
Getting ready for the next recession–Summers and beyond
Larry Summers has a piece worth reading in today’s WaPo called “Preparing for the next recession.” I liked it, in terms of convincingly arguing the limits of the Fed, but beyond that, there’s wasn’t a lot in terms of actually…you know…preparing for the next downturn – other than his closing sentence that the issue “…demands… Read more
President Obama makes an interesting point about economic messaging
From a recent interview with the President in GQ: You can’t separate good policy from the need to bring the American people along and make sure that they know why you’re doing what you’re doing. And that’s particularly true now in this new communications era. I think that we were ahead of the curve in… Read more