Just a brief note on this polling result which struck me as potentially indicative of why you shouldn’t trust polling results on complex issues, in this case, how people feel about whether their state should accept the ACA’s Medicaid expansion.
See slide #11, “Few Minds Changed by Argument on Medicaid Expansion.” The poll asks a pretty weedy question about whether your state should expand Medicaid to low-income, uninsured adults, given the Supreme Court decision that states are not required to take up the offer. It finds that 41% of respondents say “no,” leave Medicaid as it is.
Then, if I’m reading this right, it offers those negative respondents a bunch of information about how the cost of the expansion will be picked up by the Feds and how without the expansion, a bunch of people won’t get coverage, and re-asks the question.
And according to that result, half of the people who responded “no” in the first place meant to say “yes” in the first place.
It’s just one poll, one example, and one particularly gnarly sequence of questions. But it reminds one to take such results with a large grain of salt.